2025AJ....170..298S -
Astron. J., 170, 298 (2025/December-0)
A Comprehensive Reanalysis of K2-18 b's JWST NIRISS+NIRSpec Transmission Spectrum.
SCHMIDT S.P., MacDONALD R.J., TSAI S.-M., RADICA M., WANG L.-C., AHRER E.-M., BELL T.J., FISHER C., THORNGREN D.P., WOGAN N., MAY E.M., FERRARI P., BENNETT K.A., RUSTAMKULOV Z., LOPEZ-MORALES M. and SING D.K.
Abstract (from CDS):
Sub-Neptunes are the most common type of planet in our galaxy. Interior structure models suggest that the coldest sub-Neptunes could host liquid water oceans underneath their hydrogen envelopes-sometimes called “hycean” planets. JWST transmission spectra of the ∼250 K sub-Neptune K2-18 b were recently used to report detections of CH4 and CO2, alongside weaker evidence of (CH3)2S (dimethyl sulfide, or DMS). Atmospheric CO2 was interpreted as evidence for a liquid water ocean, while DMS was highlighted as a potential biomarker. However, these notable claims were derived using a single data reduction and retrieval modeling framework, which did not allow for standard robustness tests. Here, we present a comprehensive reanalysis of K2-18 b's JWST NIRISS SOSS and NIRSpec G395H transmission spectra, including the first analysis of the second-order NIRISS SOSS data. We incorporate multiple well-tested data reduction pipelines and retrieval codes, spanning 60 different data treatments and over 250 atmospheric retrievals. We confirm the detection of CH4 (≈4σ), with a volume mixing ratio range $-2.14\leqslant {\mathrm{log}}_{10}{{\rm{CH}}}_{4}\leqslant -0.53$, but we find no statistically significant or reliable evidence for CO2 or DMS. Finally, we assess the retrieved atmospheric composition using photochemical-climate and interior models, demonstrating that our revised composition of K2-18 b can be explained by an oxygen-poor mini-Neptune without requiring a liquid water surface or life.
Abstract Copyright:
© 2025. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.
Journal keyword(s):
Exoplanets - Exoplanet atmospheres - Exoplanet structure - Habitable planets - Mini Neptunes - Exoplanet atmospheric composition - Ocean planets - Exoplanet surfaces - Extrasolar gaseous planets
Simbad objects:
8
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