2025ApJ...994L..50L -
Astrophys. J., 994, L50 (2025/December-1)
Modeling Atmospheric Ion Escape from Kepler-1649 b and c over Time.
LI H., DONG C., XIE L., HE X., CHIN L., WANG X., YAN H.-L., QIN J., MAYNE N., MAK M.T., GEORGAKARAKOS N., CHRISTIE D., ZHU Y., RONG Z., MA J., LI X., CHEN S. and ZHOU H.
Abstract (from CDS):
Rocky planets orbiting M dwarf stars are prime targets for atmospheric characterization, yet their long-term evolution under intense stellar winds and high-energy radiation remains poorly constrained. The Kepler-1649 system, hosting two terrestrial exoplanets orbiting an M5V star, provides a valuable laboratory for studying atmospheric evolution in the extreme environments typical of M dwarf systems. In this Letter, we show that both planets could have retained atmospheres over gigayear timescales. Using a multispecies magnetohydrodynamic model, we simulate atmospheric ion escape driven by stellar winds and extreme-ultraviolet radiation from 0.8 to 4.0 Gyr. The results reveal a clear decline in total ion escape rates with stellar age, as captured by a nonparametric LOWESS regression, with O+ comprising 98.3%-99.9% of the total loss. Escape rates at 4.0 Gyr are 2 to 3 orders of magnitude lower than during early epochs. At 0.8 Gyr, planet b exhibits 3.79× higher O+ escape rates than planet c, whereas by 4.0 Gyr its O+ escape rates becomes 39.5× lower. This reversal arises from a transition to sub-magnetosonic star-planet interactions, where the fast magnetosonic Mach number, Mf, falls below unity. Despite substantial early atmospheric erosion, both planets may have retained significant atmospheres, suggesting potential long-term habitability. These findings offer predictive insight into atmospheric retention in the Kepler-1649 system and inform future JWST observations of similar M dwarf terrestrial exoplanets aimed at refining habitability assessments.
Abstract Copyright:
© 2025. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.
Journal keyword(s):
Astrobiology - Magnetohydrodynamical simulations - Habitable planets - Exoplanet atmospheres - Stellar winds
Simbad objects:
6
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