2021PASJ...73.1470S

In this study, all unpublished time series photometric data of BM UMa (q ∼ 2.0, P = 0.2712 d) from available archives were re-investigated together with new data taken from the 2.4-m Thai National Telescope of the Thai National Observatory. Based on period analysis, there is a short-term variation superimposed on the long-term period decrease. The trend of period change can be fitted with a downward parabolic curve indicating a period decrease at a rate of dP/dt = -3.36(±0.02) x 10^–8 d yr^–1. This long-term period decrease can be explained by mass transfer from the more massive component (M₂ ∼ 0.79M_☉) to the less-massive one (M₁ ∼ 0.39M_☉), in combination with angular momentum loss. For photometric study, we found that the binary consists of K0 V stars and at the intermediate shallow of contact configuration with evolution of fill-out factor from 8.8% (in 2007) to 23.2% (in 2020). Those results suggest that the binary is at the pre-transition stage of evolution from W-type to A-type, agreeing with the results of statistical study of W-type contact binaries. The mass of M₂ will be decreased close to or below M₁ and the mass ratio will be decreased (q < 1.0). In this way, the binary will evolve into an A-type as a deeper normal over-contact system with period increase. Finally, the binary will become a merger or a rapid-rotating single star when the mass ratio meets the critical value (q < 0.094), and produce a red nova.