2024A&A...686A.255R


Query : 2024A&A...686A.255R

2024A&A...686A.255R - Astronomy and Astrophysics, volume 686A255 (2024/6-1)

Bias versus variance when fitting multi-species molecular lines with a non-LTE radiative transfer model Application to the estimation of the gas temperature and volume density.

ROUEFF A., PETY J., GERIN M., SEGAL L.E., GOICOECHEA J.R., LISZT H.S., GRATIER P., BESLIC I., EINIG L., GAUDEL M., ORKISZ J.H., PALUD P., SANTA-MARIA M.G., DE SOUZA MAGALHAES V., ZAKARDJIAN A., BARDEAU S., BRON E., CHAINAIS P., COUDE S., DEMYK K., GUZMAN V.V., HUGHES A., LANGUIGNON D., LEVRIER F., LIS D.C., LE BOURLOT J., LE PETIT F., PERETTO N., ROUEFF E., SIEVERS A. and THOUVENIN P.-A.

Abstract (from CDS):

Context. Robust radiative transfer techniques are requisite for efficiently extracting the physical and chemical information from molecular rotational lines.
Aims. We study several hypotheses that enable robust estimations of the column densities and physical conditions when fitting one or two transitions per molecular species. We study the extent to which simplifying assumptions aimed at reducing the complexity of the problem introduce estimation biases and how to detect them.
Methods. We focus on the CO and HCO+ isotopologues and analyze maps of a 50 square arcminutes field. We used the RADEX escape probability model to solve the statistical equilibrium equations and compute the emerging line profiles, assuming that all species coexist. Depending on the considered set of species, we also fixed the abundance ratio between some species and explored different values. We proposed a maximum likelihood estimator to infer the physical conditions and considered the effect of both the thermal noise and calibration uncertainty. We analyzed any potential biases induced by model misspecifications by comparing the results on the actual data for several sets of species and confirmed with Monte Carlo simulations. The variance of the estimations and the efficiency of the estimator were studied based on the Cramér-Rao lower bound.
Results. Column densities can be estimated with 30% accuracy, while the best estimations of the volume density are found to be within a factor of two. Under the chosen model framework, the peak 12CO (1 - 0) is useful for constraining the kinetic temperature. The thermal pressure is better and more robustly estimated than the volume density and kinetic temperature separately. Analyzing CO and HCO+ isotopologues and fitting the full line profile are recommended practices with respect to detecting possible biases.
Conclusions. Combining a non-local thermodynamic equilibrium model with a rigorous analysis of the accuracy allows us to obtain an efficient estimator and identify where the model is misspecified. We note that other combinations of molecular lines could be studied in the future.

Abstract Copyright: © The Authors 2024

Journal keyword(s): line: profiles - radiative transfer - methods: data analysis - methods: statistical - ISM: clouds - ISM: general

Simbad objects: 7

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Number of rows : 7
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 NAME W 3 OH HII 02 27 04.1 +61 52 22           ~ 1064 2
2 NAME Perseus Cloud SFR 03 35.0 +31 13           ~ 1553 0
3 NAME Ori A MoC 05 38 -07.1           ~ 3187 0
4 NAME Horsehead Nebula DNe 05 40 59.0 -02 27 30           ~ 555 0
5 NAME Ori B MoC 05 41 43.0 -01 54 44           ~ 1498 0
6 W 49n HII 19 10 13.2 +09 06 12           ~ 497 3
7 W 51 SNR 19 23 50 +14 06.0           ~ 1352 1

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