2025A&A...704A.323P


Query : 2025A&A...704A.323P

2025A&A...704A.323P - Astronomy and Astrophysics, volume 704A323 (2025/12-1)

EMPEROR I. Exoplanet MCMC parallel tempering for RV orbit retrieval.

PENA ROJAS P.A. and JENKINS J.S.

Abstract (from CDS):

Aims. This paper presents EMPEROR, an open-source Python-based framework designed for the efficient detection and characterisation of exoplanets by using radial velocity (RV) methods. Its combination of performance, flexibility, and ease of use makes it a robust tool for any exoplanet detection endeavour. EMPEROR integrates dynamic nested sampling (DNS) and adaptive parallel tempering (APT) Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques, supporting multiple noise models such as Gaussian processes (GPs) and moving averages (MA). The framework facilitates systematic model comparison using statistical metrics, including Bayesian evidence (ln Н'µ) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), while providing automated, publish-ready visualisations.
Methods.EMPEROR was evaluated across three distinct systems to assess its capabilities in different detection scenarios. The sampling performance, model selection, and search for Earth-mass planets were investigated in data for 51 Pegasi, HD 55693, and Barnard's star (GJ 699).
Results. For 51 Pegasi, we find APT achieves an effective sampling increase by a factor of 3.76 over DNS, while retrieving tighter parameter estimates. For HD 55693, the stellar rotation, Prot = 29.72–0.02+0.01, and magnetic cycle, Pmag = 2557.0–36.7+70.1, were recovered, while demonstrating the sensitivity of ln Н'µ to prior selection. For Barnard's star, several noise models were compared and the confirmed planet parameters were successfully retrieved with all of them. The best model shows a period of 3.1536±0.0003 d, minimum mass of 0.38±0.03 M⊕, and semi-major axis of 0.02315±0.00039 AU.
Conclusions. Purely statistical inference might be insufficient on its own for robust exoplanet detection. Effective methodologies must integrate domain knowledge, heuristic criteria, and multi-faceted model comparisons. The versatility of EMPEROR in handling diverse noise structures, its systematic model selection, and its improved performance make it a valuable tool for RV exoplanetary studies.

Abstract Copyright: © The Authors 2026

Journal keyword(s): methods: data analysis - methods: numerical - techniques: radial velocities - planets and satellites: detection - planets and satellites: individual: HD 55693 - planets and satellites: individual: Barnard's Star

Simbad objects: 8

goto Full paper

goto View the references in ADS

Number of rows : 8
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 HD 33793b Pl? 05 11 40.5898395497 -45 01 06.361734876           ~ 11 0
2 HD 55693 PM* 07 13 02.6731051176 -24 13 32.068394832   7.83 7.16     G1.5V 105 0
3 * alf Cen Bb err 14 39 35.0 -60 50 15           ~ 48 2
4 BD-07 4003d Pl 15 19 26.8269387505 -07 43 20.189497466           ~ 159 1
5 NAME Barnard's star BY* 17 57 48.4984700685 +04 41 36.113879676 12.497 11.24 9.511 8.298 6.741 M4V 907 2
6 NAME Barnard's Star b Pl 17 57 48.4984700685 +04 41 36.113879676           ~ 34 0
7 * 51 Peg PM* 22 57 27.9804852576 +20 46 07.797040104 6.39 6.16 5.46 4.97 4.61 G2IV 1216 1
8 * 51 Peg b Pl 22 57 27.9804852576 +20 46 07.797040104           ~ 744 1

To bookmark this query, right click on this link: simbad:objects in 2025A&A...704A.323P and select 'bookmark this link' or equivalent in the popup menu