2025ApJ...993...78S


Query : 2025ApJ...993...78S

2025ApJ...993...78S - Astrophys. J., 993, 78 (2025/November-1)

In Search of Decay: An Analysis of Transit Times of Hot Jupiters in Main-sequence and Post-main-sequence Systems.

SODICKSON N. and GRUNBLATT S.

Abstract (from CDS):

Tidal interactions are one of the primary drivers of orbital evolution for massive planets with short orbital periods. Tidal dissipation within host stars can cause the orbits of such planets to decay. However, the mechanisms of tidal dissipation are difficult to probe. Generally, tidal dissipation is parameterized by the modified stellar tidal quality factor, or ${Q}_{* }^{{\prime} }$, but the lack of observational evidence of orbital decay to confirm dissipation theories has resulted in orders of magnitude of uncertainty in ${Q}_{* }^{{\prime} }$. We present a new transit timing analysis of 54 systems with varying stellar evolutionary states in an attempt to search for orbital decay across multiple stages of stellar evolution. For each system, we obtained mid-transit times from new TESS data and evaluated potential departures from a linear ephemeris using the Bayesian information criterion. We then determined tidal quality factors using widely tested theoretical relations. Of the systems studied, 25 showed evidence of a decrease in orbital period over time and eight showed evidence of a decrease that was inconsistent with zero by three standard deviations: CoRoT-2, TrES-5, WASP-4, WASP-12, WASP-19, WASP-45, WASP-99, and XO-3. However, the significance of some of these detections may be influenced by unreliable transit time measurements. Similarly, we see that the lower limit on ${Q}_{* }^{{\prime} }$ for evolved systems is marginally lower than it is for the sample of all systems, though both limits are orders of magnitude below the expected theoretical values for both samples. These new constraints on transit times and ${Q}_{* }^{{\prime} }$ values will help to narrow the search for orbital decay in the future and place important constraints on current theories of star-planet interactions.

Abstract Copyright: © 2025. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.

Journal keyword(s): Exoplanet dynamics - Exoplanets - Tidal interaction - Transit timing variation method - Transits - Hot Jupiters

Status at CDS : Large table(s) will be appraised for possible ingestion in VizieR.

Simbad objects: 63

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Number of rows : 63
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 HD 224861 * 00 01 18.1800943176 -08 55 34.650628752   10.42 9.98 10.082   F5V 28 0
2 KELT-1 Em* 00 01 26.9168207928 +39 23 01.784206464   11.23 10.63     F5 73 0
3 WASP-1 V* 00 20 40.0745768856 +31 59 23.954809596   12.06 11.31     F7V 136 1
4 WASP-45b Pl 00 20 56.9941303416 -35 59 53.746646676           ~ 44 1
5 WASP-45 PM* 00 20 56.9941303416 -35 59 53.746646676   13.33 11.80 12.20   ~ 43 1
6 TOI-6029 * 00 33 32.7023313408 +61 51 38.697488028   13.23 12.86     ~ 4 0
7 WASP-187 V* 01 09 53.9655651816 +25 40 54.105521772   10.883 10.295 10.219   ~ 12 0
8 HD 10069 SB* 01 37 25.0332798696 -45 40 40.374717456   9.74 9.30     F6IV/V 260 1
9 HAT-P-60 * 01 53 07.7732565840 +52 03 14.020237332   10.230 9.710 9.616   ~ 8 0
10 BD+00 316 Em* 01 57 03.2039481048 +00 45 31.875052896   11.35 10.56     G2 51 1
11 HD 15082 EB* 02 26 51.0582618096 +37 33 01.736482032   8.41 8.14     kA5hA8mF4 229 1
12 CD-50 777 * 02 39 35.4433933368 -50 00 28.879171596   10.08 9.48     F8 38 0
13 CD-50 777b Pl 02 39 35.4433933368 -50 00 28.879171596           ~ 30 0
14 CD-30 1019 * 02 44 09.6096023424 -30 10 08.563662228   11.454 10.960 10.47 10.428 ~ 48 1
15 BD+57 793b Pl 04 21 52.7048156328 +57 49 01.889294952           ~ 234 1
16 BD+57 793 * 04 21 52.7048156328 +57 49 01.889294952   10.27 9.85     F5V 170 2
17 BD+01 828 Em* 04 50 38.5587679752 +01 53 38.102222400   10.49 10.07     F5 34 0
18 NGTS-6 * 05 03 10.9028401320 -30 23 57.718858488   15.17 14.12 13.98   ~ 18 0
19 HD 245134 * 05 35 27.8228087040 +21 17 39.624594180   9.83 9.20     G0 23 0
20 TOI-2787 * 05 50 13.1419891417 -53 19 50.688219524   15.187 14.267 14.198   ~ 2 0
21 WASP-12b Pl 06 30 32.7966092352 +29 40 20.263502460           ~ 847 1
22 WASP-12 * 06 30 32.7966092352 +29 40 20.263502460   12.14 11.57     G0V 358 1
23 CoRoT-5 EB* 06 45 06.5406550272 +00 48 54.905787036   14.67 14.018 13.82 13.29 F9V 54 1
24 CoRoT-1 * 06 48 19.1723766840 -03 06 07.710745140     13.6 13.44 12.88 G0V 142 2
25 CD-38 3220 * 07 10 24.0604565856 -39 05 50.571250476   11.00 10.51     F6V 145 0
26 BD-11 2350 * 08 25 21.0836904312 -11 30 03.552182064   11.65 11.08     F6 18 0
27 K2-97 RG* 08 31 03.0821917608 +10 50 51.309573576           K2III 40 0
28 HD 82139 * 09 30 58.4266665696 +26 32 24.593381772   10.30 9.72     K0 10 0
29 WASP-19 * 09 53 40.0765648584 -45 39 33.057187596   13.05 12.31 12.12 11.35 G8V 207 2
30 WASP-19b Pl 09 53 40.0765648584 -45 39 33.057187596           ~ 423 1
31 WASP-43 PM* 10 19 38.0088913464 -09 48 22.605801336   13.782 12.490 12.022 11.10 K7V 182 1
32 HD 93396 PM* 10 46 49.7401839144 -09 23 56.495447700   8.87 8.04     G8/K0IV 73 0
33 WASP-128 * 11 31 26.0933129952 -41 41 22.301154528   12.98 12.37 12.36 11.74 G0V 24 0
34 HATS-18 * 11 35 49.7771406312 -29 09 21.755012652   14.870 14.067     ~ 39 0
35 K2-132 * 12 08 39.9336686136 -08 44 49.851703500   12.934 11.897     ~ 29 0
36 K2-161 * 12 15 10.5242324760 -03 29 44.236882104   13.582 12.631 11.84 11.6 K1III 18 0
37 HD 133112 PM* 15 02 44.8678907928 -03 01 52.986571896   6.788 6.618     A4/5IV/V 86 0
38 BD+28 2507 V* 16 02 11.8462322592 +28 10 10.420201452   11.88 11.25     G1V 118 1
39 TOI-4379 * 16 48 11.5053121831 -32 26 01.246900885   13.339 12.587 12.475   ~ 4 0
40 BD+44 2654 * 17 06 26.5608176640 +44 46 37.068471552   10.682 10.069 10.036   F5 33 0
41 BD+36 2955 * 17 50 33.7175464920 +36 34 12.805037904   11.19 10.59   9.998 ~ 26 0
42 1SWASP J175207.01+373246.3 V* 17 52 07.0184259768 +37 32 46.237377840   13.114 12.402 12.06 11.603 G 82 1
43 BD+35 3293 V* 18 34 31.6252443960 +35 39 41.491899468   11.07 10.63 10.52   F7V 143 1
44 V* V672 Lyr V* 19 04 09.8515616256 +36 37 57.446680296   12.35 11.42     K0V 117 1
45 Kepler-14 ** 19 10 50.110176 +47 19 58.87632   12.360 12.093 12.078 11.65 F8IV 101 1
46 TOI-2337 * 19 22 28.7965117200 +60 51 13.900959216   12.95 12.52     ~ 12 0
47 CoRoT-2 * 19 27 06.4944378024 +01 23 01.359897468   13.422 12.568 12.204 11.49 G7V+K9V 267 2
48 CoRoT-2b Pl 19 27 06.4944378024 +01 23 01.359897468           ~ 256 1
49 Kepler-1658b Pl 19 37 25.5732756048 +38 56 50.518200048           ~ 52 0
50 Kepler-1658 EB* 19 37 25.5732756048 +38 56 50.518200048   12.070 11.556 11.433   F5 68 0
51 BD+63 1565 * 19 48 51.8094898800 +64 21 15.661809288   11.14 10.58     ~ 17 0
52 TrES-5 Pl 20 20 53.2481854560 +59 26 55.575277296           ~ 58 2
53 GSC 03949-00967 * 20 20 53.2481854560 +59 26 55.575277296   14.45 13.58 13.517 12.780 ~ 16 1
54 HAT-P-23 * 20 24 29.7234392904 +16 45 43.811510112   13.05 11.94 12.27   G0 77 1
55 WASP-2 V* 20 30 54.1282355304 +06 25 46.341284844   13 11.98     K1.5 157 1
56 TOI-4436 * 20 33 42.3427562904 +87 00 33.487288020   13.12 12.23     ~ 2 0
57 KELT-16 * 20 57 04.4386023336 +31 39 39.631400028   12.28 11.72     F7V 32 0
58 WASP-114 * 21 50 39.7729812408 +10 27 46.713163356     12.743     ~ 24 0
59 HAT-P-40 * 22 22 03.0875673648 +45 27 26.518064616   12.19 11.34     ~ 35 1
60 WASP-6 * 23 12 37.7368282608 -22 40 26.273805024   12.90 11.91     G8V 112 1
61 WASP-4 PM* 23 34 15.0857248317 -42 03 41.047972591   13.51 12.48 11.9   G7V 196 1
62 WASP-4b Pl 23 34 15.0857248317 -42 03 41.047972591           ~ 197 1
63 WASP-5 * 23 57 23.7564672192 -41 16 37.743700800   12.808 12.146 12.058 11.44 G4V 132 1

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