2025MNRAS.540..106L


Query : 2025MNRAS.540..106L

2025MNRAS.540..106L - Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc., 540, 106-127 (2025/June-2)

A differentiable N-body code for transit timing and dynamical modelling - II. Photodynamics.

LANGFORD Z. and AGOL E.

Abstract (from CDS):

Exoplanet transits contain substantial information about the architecture of a system. By fitting transit light curves we can extract dynamical parameters and place constraints on the properties of the planets and their host star. Having a well-defined probabilistic model plays a crucial role in making robust measurements of these parameters, and the ability to differentiate the model provides access to more robust inference tools. Gradient-based inference methods can allow for more rapid and accurate sampling of high-dimensional parameter spaces. We present a fully differentiable photodynamical model for multiplanet transit light curves that display transit-timing variations. We model time-integrated exposures, compute the dynamics of a system over the full length of observations, and provide analytic expressions for derivatives of the flux with respect to the dynamical and photometric model parameters. The model has been implemented in the Julia language and is available open-source on GitHub. We demonstrate with a simulated data set that Bayesian inference with the NUTS HMC algorithm, which uses the model gradient, can outperform the affine-invariant (e.g. EMCEE) MCMC algorithm in CPU time per effective sample, and we find that the relative sampling efficiency improves with the number of model parameters.

Abstract Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Astronomical Society.

Journal keyword(s): methods: data analysis - methods: numerical - exoplanets - planets and satellites: fundamental parameters - planetary systems

Simbad objects: 15

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Number of rows : 15
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 K2-19 * 11 39 50.4803341248 +00 36 12.875047920   13.80 13.00 12.88   G7 75 0
2 Kepler-9 Er* 19 02 17.7544327200 +38 24 03.176851896     13.9 13.791   G2 223 1
3 Kepler-38b Pl 19 07 19.2812772264 +42 16 45.121212624           ~ 60 1
4 Kepler-117 Er* 19 15 10.3301577216 +48 02 24.785162160   15.056 14.476 14.266 13.69 F2 94 1
5 Kepler-16b Pl 19 16 18.1758378936 +51 45 26.782726104           ~ 178 1
6 Kepler-138 Er* 19 21 31.5679755816 +43 17 34.680970608   14.621 13.168 12.680   M1V 145 0
7 Kepler-36 Er* 19 25 00.0428079600 +49 13 54.630900876   12.795 12.174 12.094   F2 251 1
8 Kepler-56 RG* 19 35 02.0011980936 +41 52 18.692360400   13.954 12.756 12.379   ~ 210 1
9 Kepler-11 Er* 19 48 27.6226218768 +41 54 32.903163504   14.635 13.838 13.742   G2V 377 1
10 Kepler-469 EB* 19 49 54.2016372336 +41 06 51.428433708           ~ 109 0
11 Kepler-223 Er* 19 53 16.4202435936 +47 16 46.308434088   16.209 15.570 15.78   ~ 192 1
12 TRAPPIST-1e Pl 23 06 29.3684948589 -05 02 29.037301866           ~ 384 0
13 TRAPPIST-1 LM* 23 06 29.3684948589 -05 02 29.037301866     18.798 16.466 14.024 M7.5e 1306 0
14 TRAPPIST-1c Pl 23 06 29.3684948589 -05 02 29.037301866           ~ 282 0
15 TRAPPIST-1b Pl 23 06 29.3684948589 -05 02 29.037301866           ~ 380 0

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