2025MNRAS.544.4665P


Query : 2025MNRAS.544.4665P

2025MNRAS.544.4665P - Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc., 544, 4665-4688 (2025/December-3)

Distortions in periodicity analysis of blazars - II: the impact of gaps.

PENIL P., TORRES-ALBA N., RICO A., BUSON S., AJELLO M., DOMINGUEZ A. and ADHIKARI S.

Abstract (from CDS):

Time series analysis is fundamental to characterizing the variability inherent in multiwavelength emissions from blazars. However, a major observational challenge lies in the need for well-sampled, temporally uniform data, which is often hindered by irregular sampling and data gaps. These gaps can significantly affect the reliability and accuracy of methods used to probe source variability. This paper investigates the impact of such observational gaps on time series analysis of blazar emissions. To do so, we systematically evaluate how these gaps alter observed variability patterns, mask genuine periodic signals, and introduce false periodicity detections. This evaluation is conducted using both simulated and real observational data. We assess a range of widely used time series analysis methods, including the Lomb-Scargle periodogram, phase dispersion minimization, and the recently proposed singular spectrum analysis (SSA). Our results demonstrate a clear and significant degradation in period detection reliability when the percentage of gaps exceeds 50 per cent. In such cases, the period-significance relationship becomes increasingly distorted, often leading to misleading results. Among the tested methods, SSA stands out for its ability to yield consistent and robust detections despite high data incompleteness. Additionally, the analysed methods tend to identify artificial periodicities of around one year, likely due to seasonal sampling effects, which can result in false positives if not carefully recognized. Finally, the periods detected with $\ge 3\sigma$ confidence are unlikely to result from stochastic processes or from the presence of gaps in the analysed time series.

Abstract Copyright: © The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Astronomical Society.

Journal keyword(s): galaxies: active - BL Lacertae objects: general - galaxies: nuclei

Simbad objects: 6

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Number of rows : 6
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 2FGL J0103.8+1324 BLL 01 03 45.7411181016 +13 23 45.259222344           ~ 36 1
2 [VV2006] J095501.9+083341 BLL 09 55 01.8766295880 +08 33 42.244008264   20.30 19.80 19.6   ~ 21 0
3 SDSS J111056.83+353907.2 BLL 11 10 56.8320912816 +35 39 07.301465244   19.65 19.12 18.3   ~ 23 0
4 PG 1553+113 BLL 15 55 43.0440048528 +11 11 24.365649948 14.91 14.72 14.57 13.99   ~ 672 1
5 PMN J1636-4101 Rad 16 36 55.37549626 -41 02 00.5090706           ~ 23 1
6 4FGL J1636.9-4103 Bz? 16 36 58.4 -41 03 56           ~ 12 0

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