2026AJ....171..124E


Query : 2026AJ....171..124E

2026AJ....171..124E - Astron. J., 171, 124 (2026/March-0)

Red Noise-based False Alarm Thresholds for Astrophysical Periodograms via Whittle's Approximation to the Likelihood.

EJAZ A., DODSON-ROBINSON S. and HALEY C.

Abstract (from CDS):

Astronomers who search for periodic signals using Lomb-Scargle periodograms rely on false alarm level (FAL) estimates to identify statistically significant peaks. Although FALs are often calculated from white noise models, many astronomical time series suffer from red noise. Prewhitening is a statistical technique in which a continuum model is subtracted from the log power spectrum estimate, after which the observer can proceed with a white-noise treatment. Here we present a prewhitening-based method of calculating frequency-dependent FALs. We fit power laws and autoregressive models of order 1 to each Lomb-Scargle periodogram by minimizing the Whittle approximation to the negative log-likelihood (NLL), then calculate FALs based on the best-fit model power spectrum. Our technique is a novel extension of the Whittle NLL to datasets with uneven time sampling. We demonstrate FAL calculations using observations of α Cen B, GJ 581, HD 192310, synthetic data from the radial velocity (RV) fitting challenge, and Kepler observations of a differential rotator. The Kepler data analysis shows that only true rotation signals are detected by red noise FALs, while white noise FALs suggest all spurious peaks in the low-frequency range are significant. A high-frequency sinusoid injected into α Cen B $\mathrm{log}R{{\prime} }_{\mathrm{HK}}$ observations exceeds the 1% red noise FAL despite having only 8.9% of the power of the dominant rotation signal. In a periodogram of HD 192310 RVs, peaks associated with differential rotation and planets are detected against the 5% red noise FAL without iterative model fitting or subtraction. The software for calculating red noise-based FALs is available on GitHub.

Abstract Copyright: © 2026. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.

Journal keyword(s): Lomb-Scargle periodogram - Radial velocity - Red noise - Time series analysis - Exoplanet detection methods - Period search - Astrostatistics

Simbad objects: 16

goto Full paper

goto View the references in ADS

Number of rows : 16
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 * tau Cet c Pl? 01 44 04.0831371922 -15 56 14.927607677           ~ 7 0
2 * tau Cet b Pl? 01 44 04.0831371922 -15 56 14.927607677           ~ 8 0
3 * tau Cet PM* 01 44 04.0831371922 -15 56 14.927607677 4.43 4.22 3.50 2.88 2.41 G8V 1354 1
4 * tau Cet d Pl? 01 44 04.0831371922 -15 56 14.927607677           ~ 7 0
5 HD 31221 * 04 54 49.3851496008 +22 08 47.363855892   8.23 8.02     A2 28 0
6 * alf Cen B PM* 14 39 35.06311 -60 50 15.0992 2.89 2.21 1.33     K1V 1092 2
7 BD-07 4003c Pl 15 19 26.8269387505 -07 43 20.189497466           ~ 124 1
8 BD-07 4003 BY* 15 19 26.8269387505 -07 43 20.189497466 13.403 11.76 10.560 9.461 8.911 M3V 717 2
9 BD-07 4003b Pl 15 19 26.8269387505 -07 43 20.189497466           ~ 97 1
10 BD-07 4003e Pl 15 19 26.8269387505 -07 43 20.189497466           ~ 86 1
11 * nu.02 Lup PM* 15 21 48.1499105161 -48 19 03.469906910 6.35 6.30 5.65     G2-V 354 1
12 2MASS J18534175+4129345 * 18 53 41.7632565144 +41 29 34.617850008           ~ 13 0
13 HD 192310c Pl 20 15 17.3913760474 -27 01 58.711625384           ~ 33 1
14 HD 192310b Pl 20 15 17.3913760474 -27 01 58.711625384           ~ 41 1
15 HD 192310 PM* 20 15 17.3913760474 -27 01 58.711625384   6.63 5.723 5.98 8.74 K2+V 359 1
16 BD-15 6290 BY* 22 53 16.7325836486 -14 15 49.304052185 12.928 11.749 10.192 9.013 7.462 M3.5V 1106 1

To bookmark this query, right click on this link: simbad:objects in 2026AJ....171..124E and select 'bookmark this link' or equivalent in the popup menu