2026ApJ...997..321D


Query : 2026ApJ...997..321D

2026ApJ...997..321D - Astrophys. J., 997, 321 (2026/February-1)

Surrogate-accelerated Bayesian Inversion for Exoplanet Interior Characterization.

DE WRINGER T., DORN C., GARVIN E.O. and MARELLI S.

Abstract (from CDS):

Characterizing the interior structure of exoplanets is an inverse problem often solved using Bayesian inference, but this approach is hampered by the high computational cost of planetary structure models. To overcome this barrier, we present a robust framework that accelerates inference by replacing the computationally expensive physics-based forward model with a fast polynomial chaos-Kriging (PCK) surrogate directly within a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling loop. We rigorously validate our approach using a suite of tests, including a direct comparison against a benchmark MCMC inference using the full forward model, and a large-scale coverage study with 1000 synthetic test cases to demonstrate the statistical reliability of our inferred credible intervals. Our surrogate-assisted framework achieves a computational speedup of over 2 orders of magnitude (factor of ∼320), reducing single-CPU inference times from days to minutes. This efficiency is achieved with a surrogate that requires only a few hundred forward model evaluations for training for a single planet. This data efficiency provides significant flexibility for model developments and a clear advantage over common machine learning approaches, which typically demand vast training sets (>106 model runs) and intensive precomputation. The PCK surrogate maintains high fidelity, with R2 > 0.99 for most scenarios, and root-mean-square errors typically an order of magnitude smaller than observational uncertainties. This efficiency enables large-scale population studies while preserving statistical robustness, which is computationally impractical with traditional methods.

Abstract Copyright: © 2026. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.

Journal keyword(s): Planetary interior - Exoplanet atmospheres - Exoplanet atmospheric structure - Exoplanet atmospheric composition - Atmospheric structure - Structure determination

Simbad objects: 1

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Number of rows : 1
N Identifier Otype ICRS (J2000)
RA
ICRS (J2000)
DEC
Mag U Mag B Mag V Mag R Mag I Sp type #ref
1850 - 2026
#notes
1 NAME L 231-32d Pl 04 33 39.7200127728 -51 57 22.435373160           ~ 128 0

Query : 2026ApJ...997..321D

Basic data :
NAME L 231-32d -- Extra-solar Planet
Other object types:
otypes_help
Pl? (2019NatAs,TOI), Pl (2021ApJS)
ICRS coord. (ep=J2000) :
04 33 39.7200127728 -51 57 22.435373160 (Optical) [ 0.0140 0.0133 90 ] A 2020yCat.1350....0G
FK4 coord. (ep=B1950 eq=1950) :
04 32 24.9921217759 -52 03 20.378103661 [ 0.0140 0.0133 90 ]
Gal coord. (ep=J2000) :
259.7723239112229 -42.0144945762557 [ 0.0140 0.0133 90 ]
Proper motions mas/yr :
83.082 -269.803 [0.017 0.018 90] A 2020yCat.1350....0G
Parallaxes (mas):
44.4899 [0.0147] A 2020yCat.1350....0G
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Hierarchy : number of linked objects
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NAME L 231-32d TOI-270.02 TOI-270d

References (128 between 1850 and 2026) (Total 128)
Simbad bibliographic survey began in 1850 for stars (at least bright stars) and in 1983 for all other objects (outside the solar system).
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