2026ApJ...998..171Z

Recently, the gravitational-wave (GW) event S241125n, detected by LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA (LVK), has been reported to coincide with a candidate detected by Swift-BAT/GUANO and an X-ray candidate found by the Follow-up X-ray Telescope onboard the Einstein Probe (EP) and confirmed by Swift-XRT. We estimate that the joint false alarm rate for the three candidates is 1/30 yr and that the corresponding false alarm probability (FAP) is FAP_triple = 0.037 (1.8σ). The coincidence between the GW and GRB could be an interesting test of their origin and open attractive opportunities for multimessenger observations, if they are actually associated. Motivated by this, we propose a theoretical model in which a binary black hole merger occurs within an active galactic nucleus (AGN) disk. The typically massive and significantly kicked merger remnant accretes disk material at hyper-Eddington rates, and the resulting jet could lead to the GRB associated with the GW event. As the jet interacts with the gas in the AGN disk, the shock breakout produces a Comptonized spectrum, consistent with an unusually soft photon index of the GRB prompt emission observed by Swift-BAT following LVK S241125n. Meanwhile, strong absorption and dust extinction of the afterglow by the high column density typical of AGN disks could explain the unusually hard spectrum observed in the X-ray band by EP, as well as the nondetection of an optical counterpart. Our model is predictive, and we highlight the importance of further constraining the orbital eccentricity of the merger and conducting deep-field observations of the host galaxy to test our explanation.